Game Result Predictions
Tuesday, March 19
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Muncie, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Purdue (20-34, Road 5-23) |
0 | 3 | +3.0 | 39% | 9 | ✔ | 2 | +3.5 | 29% | ✔ | |
|
Ball State (36-19, Home 21-1) |
6 | 6 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 6 (-3) |
5 | -3.5 | 71% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Elon, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Maryland (29-29, Road 16-11) |
11 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 48% | ✘ | |
|
Elon (33-24, Home 16-15) |
4 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 15 (3) |
6 | -0.5 | 52% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Terre Haute, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Indiana (37-23, Road 11-13) |
15 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✘ | 4 | +2.0 | 38% | ✘ | |
|
Indiana State (43-18, Home 15-2) |
14 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 29 (18) |
6 | -2.0 | 62% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Ann Arbor, MI | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Western Michigan (18-31, Road 9-27) |
5 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✔ | 0 | +11.5 | 6% | ✔ | |
|
Michigan (50-22, Home 22-4) |
12 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 17 (5) |
11 | -11.5 | 94% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Nashville, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Air Force (26-26, Road 9-14) |
6 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 31% | ✔ | |
|
Nebraska (32-24, Home 13-6) |
7 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 13 (1) |
7 | -3.5 | 69% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Merion Station, PA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Northern Kentucky (14-42, Road 3-26) |
8 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | 13 | ✔ | 1 | +8.5 | 11% | ✔ | |
|
Ohio State (36-27, Home 15-10) |
10 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 18 (5) |
10 | -8.5 | 89% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Malibu, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Minnesota (27-27, Road 11-12) |
12 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 5 | -2.5 | 65% | ✘ | |
|
Pepperdine (24-25, Home 12-9) |
13 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 25 (16) |
2 | +2.5 | 35% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| St. Louis, MO | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Illinois (36-21, Road 15-11) |
4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✘ | 7 | -4.0 | 73% | ✔ | |
|
Saint Louis (25-29, Home 14-9) |
1 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 5 (-6) |
3 | +4.0 | 27% | |||